The answer on these inputs
$1.5 million produces $60,000 in year one at 4.0%. Against $60,000 of spending that is 100% coverage — the first-year withdrawal funds the spend. A constant 5.0% return still has money at year 35. Across 1,000 seeded paths the spend lasts the full horizon in 43% of worlds; the 10th-to-90th ending range is $0 to $5,473,535.
Change the inputs
First-year income at the rate$60,000
Coverage of the spend100%
Years the spend lasts35+
1,000-path success43%