The calculator
A 4.0% target with a +5.0% / −2.5% clamp starts at $40,000 and ends at $50,801, with a portfolio of $1,270,036.
How it works
Vanguard's published dynamic spending rule computes a target as rate × current portfolio, then forces the real change versus last year to stay inside a ceiling and a floor. The usual defaults are +5% and −2.5%. After a 50% crash the target would collapse; the floor stops spending falling more than 2.5% that year. The Guyton-Klinger calculator is the discrete alternative.
Assumptions
One return every year, no fees, no taxes. The clamp is applied in real terms (last year × (1 + inflation), then ± the cap). A constant return will not exercise the floor the way a real crash would.