The answer on these inputs
$3 million produces $120,000 in year one at 4.0%. Against $100,000 of spending that is 120% coverage — the first-year withdrawal funds the spend. A constant 5.0% return still has money at year 35. Across 1,000 seeded paths the spend lasts the full horizon in 62% of worlds; the 10th-to-90th ending range is $0 to $15,144,303.
Change the inputs
First-year income at the rate$120,000
Coverage of the spend120%
Years the spend lasts35+
1,000-path success62%