The answer on these inputs
$5 million produces $200,000 in year one at 4.0%. Against $150,000 of spending that is 133% coverage — the first-year withdrawal funds the spend. A constant 5.0% return still has money at year 35. Across 1,000 seeded paths the spend lasts the full horizon in 69% of worlds; the 10th-to-90th ending range is $0 to $28,548,134.
Change the inputs
First-year income at the rate$200,000
Coverage of the spend133%
Years the spend lasts35+
1,000-path success69%