4 articles on strategy comparison
The real math behind Coast FIRE
Coast FIRE math: stop saving at 45 and 32.5% of 1,000 paths still hold $1.5M at 65, vs 56% if contributions continue. Seed 20260622.
Is 100% stocks brilliant or reckless? Quantified
100% stocks quantified: 83.6% success and $1.11M median vs 60/40 at 93.9% and $945k. Rigid 4%, 1,000 paths. Not a historical claim.
What History Did to Every Leverage Multiple from 1.00× to 3.00×
Long-term stock market leverage: 201 multiples from 1.00× to 3.00× on the 1928–2025 tape. Median, left tail and the long path peak at different L.
Which Investing Strategy Wins? Six Strategies Benchmarked on the Same Markets
Which investing strategy wins? We benchmarked buy & hold, rebalance, glide path, guardrails, optimizer, and panic selling across 5,000 identical market lifetimes.
Other topics
- Retirement withdrawals — Safe withdrawal rates, the 4% rule, and flexible vs rigid spending policies.
- Sequence of returns risk — Why the order of market returns can matter more than the average — especially near retirement.
- Monte Carlo & projections — Why single-number projections mislead, and how probability-based planning works.
- Investing costs — Fee drag, expense ratios, and the lifetime dollar cost of 1%.
- Investing behavior — Time in the market vs timing the market, and the cost of panic selling.