The answer on these inputs
$90,000 a year at 4.0% needs $2,250,000 at age 55. Starting from $900,000 and adding $35,000 a year at 5.0% real, the portfolio at 55 is $1,906,231 — short by $343,769. Across 1,000 seeded paths, that projected nest egg funds the spend for 40 years in 23% of worlds.
Change the inputs
Number at retirement$2,250,000
Projected nest egg$1,906,231
Years of saving to the number12.5 years
1,000-path success23%
Why this age is different
The 4% rule was a 30-year result. Retiring at 55 with a plan to 95 is a 40-year problem. That is why the default rate here is 4.0%, not 4% borrowed from a shorter window. Sibling pages for the other ages: